TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3234…8b1abacked Under53c9,642$5,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.621747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under52c3,920$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.123441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under36c2,579$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.3134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over43c2,080$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.796737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.997424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c1,876$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.661,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over75c1,777$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.2722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,343$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Under18c1,127$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.964463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under27c1,037$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-60.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c953.85$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.854339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Under30c663.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.843141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c445.77$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under41c424.82$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.267750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Over59c420.34$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c333.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over59c312.88$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.883080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1563243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Over51c280.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.351855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Under37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c256.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.52763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under10c249.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7710451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over49c227.17$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.733762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Under72c222$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.845642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…ba4bbacked Over78c167.09$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c161.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under25c153.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.43333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under11c151.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a1…73dbbacked Under40c124.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under42c119.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Under51c109.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.433641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over29c105.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under71c102.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7212357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722552%13 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over49c93.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3121748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under27c89.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.947556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over50c88.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under25c86.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.678548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over31c82.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over67c74.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.297065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over30c73.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c65.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over28c62.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under53c60.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9714442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over36c59.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3914351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked Under50c59.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Under50c59.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under54c56.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under27c51.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3615354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf45…3543backed Under42c47.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under28c45.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over40c45.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.092222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3339backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over63c39.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over29c34.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under30c34.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2520431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under60c33.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over51c32.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.895058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over35c31.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under70c30.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5614159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under70c30.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.371338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c30.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.937846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21b…0167backed Over50c29.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under70c26.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under52c26.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Under58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab0…4ccdbacked Under56c23.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f62…634ebacked Over53c22.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under72c17.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.594163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Under71c15.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Over80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.