Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a0c5c2722ff890964321b0141d315c2b1075afc5755f66dbad2bb76abd9c27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 11c | 10,902$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.38 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…1937backed Under | 1c | 2,097$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 76c | 1,354$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.06 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 16c | 937.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 75c | 460$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 428.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 24c | 394$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 24c | 204.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 24c | 137.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 25c | 116.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 24c | 112.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 75c | 107.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 24c | 59.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.