Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152e327a21627109071099ab51e5a4c48b45de2e535b0fae74c3b48b0c23aa39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 50c | 81,705$40,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,883.81 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 34,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 23,041$11,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,520.57 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 8,480$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.96 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 7,724$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.15 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 50c | 6,488$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Under | 50c | 6,120$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 4,976$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.17 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 4,514$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.8 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.84 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 3,857$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 51c | 2,675$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.19 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,299$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.67 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 2,072$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 49c | 2,038$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +274.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 50c | 2,012$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 1,971$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.79 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 50c | 1,581$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.37 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 50c | 1,484$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 1,445$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.21 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 1,384$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 51c | 1,294$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.02 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 17c | 1,182$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 1,180$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.23 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 959.18$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 680.31$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 619.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Under | 50c | 603.38$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Under | 50c | 602.94$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 525.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 50c | 396.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…6a2cbacked Under | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Under | 51c | 325.92$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 61c | 299.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 36c | 269$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 265.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…6603backed Under | 5c | 238.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 234.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 51c | 231.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Under | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed Under | 50c | 197.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 192.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under | 35c | 169.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 167.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…f131backed Under | 50c | 161.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 149.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 51c | 121.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 106.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 50c | 106.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…bc83backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.