TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Mariano Navone, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$333,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Mariano Navone8c61,825$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.518,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mariano Navone6c18,764$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.824,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mariano Navone11c13,564$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Mariano Navone4c11,663$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.216723.9%16 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b55…1ab9backed Mariano Navone21c5,743$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.997335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed Mariano Navone22c5,149$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.835957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1be…9662backed Mariano Navone2c5,077$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.522814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mariano Navone7c4,747$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.754,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Alexander Zverev78c3,965$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.4112147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mariano Navone16c3,757$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.191,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Mariano Navone26c3,715$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.439528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Alexander Zverev78c3,503$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.633556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mariano Navone10c3,373$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.652,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Mariano Navone1c3,333$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.333441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Mariano Navone19c3,046$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.2758734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Alexander Zverev77c2,881$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.6829241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Mariano Navone18c2,807$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1588749.8%442 W · 445 L-22.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mariano Navone11c2,730$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Mariano Navone2c2,679$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.481,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mariano Navone20c2,143$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.9478336%282 W · 501 L+36.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariano Navone4c1,958$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.416,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mariano Navone10c1,851$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.733,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Mariano Navone14c1,754$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0830530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Mariano Navone2c1,530$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.122262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Alexander Zverev79c1,520$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2925464.6%164 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Alexander Zverev77c1,425$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7664455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Mariano Navone16c1,246$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.427526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Alexander Zverev80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2474673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Mariano Navone20c1,145$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9658232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Mariano Navone9c1,041$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.311,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Alexander Zverev80c1,014$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.163754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Alexander Zverev80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20041060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2642…bfc4backed Mariano Navone7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704231%13 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Mariano Navone16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Mariano Navone18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18042839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e26…e4d1backed Mariano Navone3c995.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8610436.5%38 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Mariano Navone17c950.2$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5374343.7%325 W · 418 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Mariano Navone22c866.55$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6423130.3%70 W · 161 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Mariano Navone23c829.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7611130.6%34 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alexander Zverev78c824.27$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.341,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Alexander Zverev78c805.45$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.271852.8%379 W · 339 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Mariano Navone22c779.89$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5817549.7%87 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Mariano Navone23c721.57$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9636038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Mariano Navone3c707.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Mariano Navone15c702.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3414822.3%33 W · 115 L-14.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Mariano Navone9c665.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.543829.2%128 W · 310 L+1.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Mariano Navone6c647.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5456754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Mariano Navone13c640.13$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8238013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked Alexander Zverev78c635.18$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.898961.8%55 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Alexander Zverev78c633.53$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.386160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Mariano Navone21c595.31$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9726049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Mariano Navone16c593.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.961,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Mariano Navone5c548.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4231463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6c…d56cbacked Mariano Navone24c511.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7224451.6%126 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Mariano Navone7c508.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5627236%98 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Alexander Zverev80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10027053.3%144 W · 126 L-16.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Mariano Navone6c492.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63b…b8cfbacked Mariano Navone20c475.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.936845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ae…0df4backed Mariano Navone25c458.4$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.62045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Mariano Navone20c417.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4218315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…5415backed Mariano Navone9c405.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Mariano Navone6c399.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4970729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Alexander Zverev78c387.13$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1729754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…d77cbacked Alexander Zverev80c381.62$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.324271.4%30 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mariano Navone13c377.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.665,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mariano Navone21c366.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.931,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Mariano Navone21c359.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3922242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc191…d45cbacked Alexander Zverev80c300.22$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d87…abeabacked Mariano Navone21c285.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.019546.3%44 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x660b…9852backed Mariano Navone17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.515326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Alexander Zverev78c275.1$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5221765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6794…0a8bbacked Mariano Navone6c252.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1513016.9%22 W · 108 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48dc…c7d5backed Alexander Zverev79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.496666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Alexander Zverev80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.446562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4aaebacked Mariano Navone20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61450%7 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+53.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Mariano Navone21c233.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x362d…0c58backed Mariano Navone6c224.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.819453.2%50 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Mariano Navone23c222.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1117460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa834…71aebacked Alexander Zverev80c222.3$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Alexander Zverev80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408459.5%50 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Alexander Zverev80c197.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.521,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Mariano Navone17c195.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2674712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Mariano Navone21c189.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594f…c9e5backed Mariano Navone7c183.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f53…c786backed Mariano Navone8c177.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Alexander Zverev75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Mariano Navone19c166$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5456827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x364e…458fbacked Alexander Zverev79c164.6$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e4…3d1bbacked Alexander Zverev79c161.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Alexander Zverev79c156.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9717558.3%102 W · 73 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Mariano Navone18c147.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6227936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Mariano Navone22c145.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.085945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…3dcebacked Mariano Navone20c142.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mariano Navone12c139.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.176,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Mariano Navone15c139.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8822642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff8…bea7backed Mariano Navone21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.585950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Mariano Navone18c126.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.821,02049.9%509 W · 511 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5344…9dbdbacked Alexander Zverev79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa15b…128abacked Alexander Zverev79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2514571.7%104 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Alexander Zverev80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.710358.3%60 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.