MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b471212644d756a7e3e340fee32a7b70e51d0cc1d16678bed09d4c42a64ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 19,830$11,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.8 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 8,085$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.69 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 6,350$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.48 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 6,208$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.63 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 2,958$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.41 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 2,946$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.65 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 2,394$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.45 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 1,887$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.44 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 1,482$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.94 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,218$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.43 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 1,078$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,026$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.92 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 859.56$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 763.95$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 639.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 537.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.07 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 288.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 274.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 242.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 213.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 208.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 190.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 144.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 139.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 136.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 132.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 130.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 117.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 116.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 88.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 85.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 85.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 60.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 59.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 58.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 57.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 52.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…c9a5backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 51.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 42.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 34.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 33.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 32.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 30.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 30.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 29.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 25.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 17.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…231fbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 17.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 14.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-5.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.