TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Under42c18,897$7,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,903.149749.5%48 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c10,628$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3141,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.9151756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c8,792$4,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,480.391,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c8,037$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.4813534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under48c5,046$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c4,921$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.21,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over52c4,161$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.6986548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over51c3,508$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.0211347.8%54 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Under50c3,054$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.8414156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c2,595$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.576,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c2,160$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.0159549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over44c2,000$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.943158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over50c1,778$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.513,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over53c1,744$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.119255.4%51 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c1,274$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.481,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c1,160$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.991,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c1,150$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.22,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.089045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,044$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.551,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over53c971.8$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0516644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over42c783.83$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.341,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c667.65$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under49c625.47$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.645,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over52c597.66$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7826545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c590.06$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c577.38$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7578146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Over61c513.68$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4836440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c437.04$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.262445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under51c377.82$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6511942.9%51 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid+243.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over51c335.64$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5370154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under47c322.72$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7667742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over61c297.83$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.144,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c272.61$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.661,72250.3%867 W · 855 L+55.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over50c268.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6855464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over57c249.21$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4618056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c226.42$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.512733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under44c219.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.129344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over48c192.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3122849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…7e96backed Over51c187.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…ef82backed Over58c177.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.82218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Over50c175.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.872347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c169.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3877050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c163.49$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.931,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under53c153.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9812449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c149.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7250949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeda…6595backed Under53c100.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.44667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c99.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8122554.7%123 W · 102 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over50c94.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4962454.2%338 W · 286 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under48c91.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7518553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Over53c87.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2325452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over54c78.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.225448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Over54c71.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Under42c70.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.756684.8%56 W · 10 L+15.1wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+34.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Over45c68.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5851555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under59c66.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.031,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over39c66.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under54c61.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.411149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under49c59.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.378247.6%39 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under46c59.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9729141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under50c57.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5313552.6%71 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over57c57.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.753540%14 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over57c57.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4914034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d28…ad43backed Over43c56.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.945545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over20c54.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+85.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…f017backed Under50c53.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.665442.6%23 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Under48c52.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2613144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Under49c51.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.29448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2415858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over48c49.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.998550.6%43 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over62c49.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.289250%46 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Over53c48.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under54c47.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7530454.3%165 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under50c46.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.272,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under54c41.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2919855.1%109 W · 89 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over50c41.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0333864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked Over52c40.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under60c39.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over53c38.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.615351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over40c36.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4647549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over53c34.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fce…6476backed Under51c29.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.563562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Over68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6211855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…7e36backed Over52c28.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c6c…be63backed Under49c27.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.134065%26 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…d047backed Over51c25.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2599624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Over50c23.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.899562.1%59 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under48c23.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1914047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…b42ebacked Over53c21.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Under54c21.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.792774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e89…7880backed Under48c21.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.941656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c68…0888backed Over53c20.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.692466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over56c18.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.