MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1003196465d0a87674aafb3d7fe25c044fc150294566fe4355c00cc5b050389a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 9,369$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635.43 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 61c | 5,274$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.31 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 60c | 4,047$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.93 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 39c | 1,455$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.04 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 62c | 1,064$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.98 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 39c | 897.7$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 61c | 772.2$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.12 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 60c | 652.08$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 540.37$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 52c | 218.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 41c | 175.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 61c | 169.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 64c | 161.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Under | 37c | 157.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Over | 58c | 151.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7e36backed Over | 47c | 82.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 79.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 36c | 67.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…d047backed Over | 60c | 60.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 39c | 56.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 61c | 55.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…9b29backed Under | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 36c | 46.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 42c | 41.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 32c | 35.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 45c | 34.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 55c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 63c | 21.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 66c | 19.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Houston AstrosColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.