TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,245 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x683a…274ebacked Under0c12,001$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c7,287$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.3922652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over53c6,732$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.253844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c5,199$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.4998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c5,013$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.5634937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over70c5,000$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.171662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under58c3,863$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.271850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Over67c1,455$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c1,395$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.3330954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over32c1,300$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over42c1,276$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.221540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over38c1,250$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7778625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under6c1,100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+463.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over44c956.19$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over33c899.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.53234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c750.95$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over72c632.5$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over48c624.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under27c593.28$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1710633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under45c519$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.364843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c493.85$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1519849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over76c489.47$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.472588%22 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over53c439.82$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.872222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over33c399.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over68c377$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2212156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Under47c348.26$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under31c326.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.625129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under33c314.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.854551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under65c308.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Under67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Over32c296.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.07955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.788129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over45c271.42$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.428853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Over43c259.7$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under66c230.2$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.992951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under34c184$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…1d66backed Under50c182.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under28c162.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over74c156.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.641770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over42c149.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.748353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under45c145.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.013354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-16.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under36c137.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.45933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.054337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Under52c117.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874e…c70bbacked Over66c114.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Under58c109.32$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over77c104.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.011963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb9…0f15backed Over44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick37cpaid+120.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over31c82.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Under43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under64c78.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under47c77.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.482751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over48c77.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.176823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over46c73.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-77.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over77c68.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.855066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over71c64.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.752080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Over72c55.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.492080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under54c55.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under57c54.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.942944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.194233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.867739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over32c51.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.957254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under39c49.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3570%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over76c49.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under46c43.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Over69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over40c39.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over69c37.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under69c36.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over44c36.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.171291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+74.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5f…dfc9backed Over72c32.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d2…c802backed Under64c32.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under56c28.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Over70c28.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.