Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2747688a700299ba1772dbef5dd0e70f2db0b1d683fe23f88c253058d3ea5676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,286 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc94c…f27ebacked No | 46c | 3,702$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…e12bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,702$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 1,351$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 80c | 465$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 56c | 234.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 165.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 57c | 154.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 57c | 154.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 115.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 36c | 103.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 90.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 58c | 90.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 89.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 57c | 88.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 85.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 56c | 77.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 57c | 77.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed No | 46c | 73.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 79c | 64.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 55c | 59.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 45c | 48.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 58c | 31.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa806…0b0bbacked No | 45c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Yes | 55c | 27.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…d85dbacked Yes | 56c | 25.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Yes | 79c | 22.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.