Euroleague · resolved market
Ningbo Rockets vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629aab0a6ddae1a015d95bd98a9a3db128faaadac427ab7d495f2572174e0b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guangzhou Loong Lionsof Ningbo Rockets, Guangzhou Loong Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,880 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 57c | 3,973$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.17 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ningbo Rockets | 45c | 2,616$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.54 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 33c | 1,485$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.72 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 51c | 1,242$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.91 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ningbo Rockets | 41c | 948.29$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.72 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Ningbo Rockets | 66c | 440$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ningbo Rockets | 43c | 412.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ningbo Rockets | 39c | 389.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ningbo Rockets | 52c | 376.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Ningbo Rockets | 70c | 368.57$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 65c | 366.34$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 336.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ningbo Rockets | 68c | 296.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ningbo Rockets | 26c | 291.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Ningbo Rockets | 52c | 288.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 51c | 229.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ningbo Rockets | 51c | 211.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Ningbo Rockets | 67c | 201.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Ningbo Rockets | 71c | 192.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Ningbo Rockets | 55c | 187$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 75c | 172$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ningbo Rockets | 68c | 160.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ningbo Rockets | 56c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 64c | 145.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ningbo Rockets | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Ningbo Rockets | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 50c | 132.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ningbo Rockets | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ningbo Rockets | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Ningbo Rockets | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Ningbo Rockets | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 44c | 95.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 72c | 87.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 83.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ningbo Rockets | 36c | 81.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 44c | 75.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Ningbo Rockets | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Ningbo Rockets | 51c | 62.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 35c | 59.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Ningbo Rockets | 50c | 57.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 32c | 55.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 60c | 46.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 40.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Ningbo Rockets | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ningbo Rockets | 71c | 37.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Ningbo Rockets | 74c | 35.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 30.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ningbo Rockets | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Ningbo Rockets | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ningbo Rockets | 50c | 29.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ningbo Rockets | 74c | 24.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 72c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ningbo Rockets | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…af86backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 63c | 17.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.