Euroleague · resolved market
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c557ce6317a82604cb2a9220c01988f5c0fec47c1000e1eb90d1e6dbd89468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,721 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 1,201$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 1,150$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 995.43$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 925.13$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…52f6backed Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 602$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…7608backed Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 514$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…f07cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 508$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tianjin Pioneers | 5c | 459.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 456.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 415.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Tianjin Pioneers | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 399.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 20c | 321.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…b9a5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 285$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 277.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 251.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfd…9cd2backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 234$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 202.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 181.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 166.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 121.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 99.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 95.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 93.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…b488backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 88.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Shenzhen Leopards | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Shenzhen Leopards | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 80c | 68.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…af86backed Tianjin Pioneers | 22c | 59.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 55.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Shenzhen Leopards | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Shenzhen Leopards | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Shenzhen Leopards | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 30.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.