Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Georgia Bulldogs (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d330522ba3c7bf3856553bd7ab849e378951e6394db393cd5bdf148baa6cb4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Cavaliers, Georgia Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgia Bulldogs | 78c | 6,906$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,386.86 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Cavaliers | 14c | 2,689$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 10c | 2,100$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Virginia Cavaliers | 45c | 1,403$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.34 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 42c | 816.58$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.58 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Georgia Bulldogs | 72c | 636.58$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.03 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia Bulldogs | 56c | 371.23$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 15c | 322.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 44c | 322.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Georgia Bulldogs | 11c | 194.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Virginia Cavaliers | 60c | 157$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 139.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 120.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Virginia Cavaliers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Georgia Bulldogs | 40c | 74.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Virginia Cavaliers | 17c | 71.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 59c | 67.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 58c | 51.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Georgia Bulldogs | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 63c | 36.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Georgia Bulldogs | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 42c | 34.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…af86backed Georgia Bulldogs | 69c | 26.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 22.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Georgia Bulldogs | 57c | 21.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.