TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Morelos: Oliver Crawford vs Alafia Ayeni

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alafia Ayeniof Oliver Crawford, Alafia Ayeni
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,137 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alafia Ayeni67c11,097$7,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.316,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oliver Crawford34c3,600$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.662,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Oliver Crawford40c2,502$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Oliver Crawford22c1,616$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.972,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alafia Ayeni53c1,528$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Oliver Crawford66c1,508$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.587252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Oliver Crawford40c1,249$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ac…fed6backed Oliver Crawford25c1,159$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alafia Ayeni54c1,100$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.497,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Oliver Crawford41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Oliver Crawford39c940.18$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Oliver Crawford21c934.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Oliver Crawford43c918.51$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.852,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oliver Crawford68c702.21$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.258,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Alafia Ayeni31c666.64$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.619938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oliver Crawford51c665.63$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.853,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Oliver Crawford57c580.89$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5127836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Oliver Crawford44c539$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.511,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Alafia Ayeni51c509.71$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6518548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oliver Crawford42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alafia Ayeni33c476.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.691,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed Oliver Crawford10c444.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.534413.6%6 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Oliver Crawford57c370.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Oliver Crawford59c340.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Alafia Ayeni50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16042558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Oliver Crawford73c271.52$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.742,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alafia Ayeni25c249.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.493,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oliver Crawford52c221$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.961,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alafia Ayeni42c206.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.124,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Oliver Crawford40c176.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Oliver Crawford67c169.36$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4721257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Oliver Crawford67c152.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.294751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Oliver Crawford75c151.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7432649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alafia Ayeni48c143.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.056,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Alafia Ayeni24c133.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.177427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Oliver Crawford41c110.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Oliver Crawford39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Oliver Crawford73c92.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2538268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Oliver Crawford56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alafia Ayeni39c84.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.552,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Oliver Crawford33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Oliver Crawford27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.825737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alafia Ayeni52c79.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.942,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Oliver Crawford40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Alafia Ayeni46c73.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Oliver Crawford28c73.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Oliver Crawford74c70.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Alafia Ayeni27c67.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2923750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Oliver Crawford75c67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2553457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Oliver Crawford45c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Oliver Crawford38c62.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6923429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Alafia Ayeni64c56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Oliver Crawford76c54.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1839872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Oliver Crawford30c53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.994027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Alafia Ayeni51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Oliver Crawford39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alafia Ayeni61c51.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.087,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Oliver Crawford31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39522.1%21 W · 74 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Alafia Ayeni27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.519634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Oliver Crawford55c45.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2232450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0627…d18dbacked Oliver Crawford38c44.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Oliver Crawford73c42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.661,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Alafia Ayeni66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8820758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002e…af86backed Oliver Crawford40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alafia Ayeni38c37.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.173,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Oliver Crawford54c35.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.343935.9%14 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Oliver Crawford74c33.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alafia Ayeni67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Oliver Crawford66c29.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2442358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed Oliver Crawford49c22.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…af2fbacked Alafia Ayeni64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Oliver Crawford56c20.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.594,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Oliver Crawford70c20.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2845147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alafia Ayeni59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Oliver Crawford52c19.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.019562.1%59 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alafia Ayeni65c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.391,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Alafia Ayeni60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Oliver Crawford72c15.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.