TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over45c120,063$53,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,252.356943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under55c52,783$29,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,169.16855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under55c26,763$14,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,719.41,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under55c24,373$13,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,471.9292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under60c11,904$7,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,157.4351756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under7c11,212$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.7112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under55c5,500$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02517248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c4,568$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.551,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c2,784$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.166,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over41c2,479$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.992,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over44c2,251$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.4475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c1,700$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.186,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c1,333$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.345,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c1,194$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.787050%35 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Under55c1,106$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.337852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under55c1,097$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.1168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e1…a9cfbacked Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Under47c619.6$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.441040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under9c572.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c532.26$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.741,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under56c525.93$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9922753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under56c525.91$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.511,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.413361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22539948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under56c315.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7130750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over46c315.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.385341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under55c300.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4144348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over34c298.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.279,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over42c223.59$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5713256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Under55c215.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7919951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe6…1bfabacked Under56c188.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3638353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.361631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Under56c173.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.342846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over40c170.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.835,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under61c163$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4311331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under55c140.93$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5114444.4%64 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c138.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under55c132.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8521847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under56c132.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1535650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.252,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over44c111.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4625249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under56c105.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.94551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f90…4e02backed Over46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.792458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over45c98.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.376360.3%38 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under55c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.49948.5%48 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under55c84.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5670546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under53c78.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7836649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over35c72.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.152,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c71.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under55c65.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0926151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under55c63.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8947350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked Under56c60.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.26944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under56c60.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.086549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5689…2b99backed Over45c58.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over41c57.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.266,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x638f…f92fbacked Under56c57.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under55c56.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9714442.4%61 W · 83 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.255250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under55c54.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9530048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over44c49.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2218649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under65c49.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0366749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7522650.4%114 W · 112 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2218751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under56c36.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7942…58f4backed Under56c36.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4751656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Under56c31.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.452552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over44c28.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6713054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under56c27.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5420362.6%127 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a28…cf73backed Under56c26.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under55c26.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.596946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Under56c26.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.723357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under56c26.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…bdaabacked Under56c26.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c26.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa432…4228backed Under56c26.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…0619backed Under56c25.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3640%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under56c25.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.223234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x85e6…454ebacked Under47c25.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Under55c24.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa9…a9ffbacked Under57c23.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709c…7b71backed Under57c22.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over57c21.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.151,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under55c20.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under55c19.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9935547.3%168 W · 187 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under56c19.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.986653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under56c18.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.363,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…02d4backed Under56c17.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.