MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf30055a3efd1b5d09b5aa6635bd61d7aa7612939939e45a9b39d1590a2e54ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 94,339$49,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,903.89 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 37,762$18,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,565.05 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 47c | 32,002$15,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,961.05 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 12,516$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,161.73 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 5,940$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.15 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 5,642$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.1 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 5,328$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.91 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 4,198$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.38 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 2,242$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.55 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 49c | 2,240$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.55 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 2,239$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.57 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 2,047$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.89 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 2,042$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.17 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,828$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 1,461$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.96 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 27c | 1,392$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 47c | 1,248$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.63 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.08 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 50c | 1,210$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.4 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 1,210$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.85 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 49c | 990$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 924.91$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.46 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 860.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 856.69$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.05 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 775.04$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 515.71$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 19c | 455.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 47c | 455.07$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 454.85$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 454.84$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 47c | 433.75$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 51c | 365.06$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 361.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 47c | 322.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 312.15$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.19 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 303.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 22c | 299.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Over | 57c | 224.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Under | 47c | 218.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 47c | 215.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 47c | 212.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 211.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 58c | 194.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 19c | 194.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 194.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 51c | 194.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 51c | 194.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 22c | 192.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 51c | 192.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 191.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 51c | 190.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 175.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 174.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 174.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 51c | 169.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 165.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Under | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 47c | 157.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 48c | 155.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 47c | 154.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 50c | 135.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 47c | 133.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 128.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 122.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 47c | 111.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under | 47c | 110.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Under | 47c | 103.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 49c | 93.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 47c | 92.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 52c | 82.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 48c | 81.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 51c | 80.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…89bcbacked Over | 53c | 76.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 47c | 75.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 64.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 47c | 56.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Under | 52c | 53.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5689…2b99backed Over | 52c | 53.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 48c | 53.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 54c | 52.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 51c | 51.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 51c | 49.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.