Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2b8565b7035d730f673114a3c4160bacef0f0f4378201902fbd6eb83e594b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristian Garinof Cristian Garin, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cristian Garin | 78c | 4,953$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…3e53backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cristian Garin | 75c | 3,311$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 3,137$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.52 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 2,847$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 2,275$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Matteo Arnaldi | 7c | 2,023$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdd…6261backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,894$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 1,723$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.34 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cristian Garin | 60c | 1,262$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.99 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Cristian Garin | 77c | 1,255$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Cristian Garin | 66c | 1,213$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,193$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.32 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cristian Garin | 70c | 1,147$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Cristian Garin | 58c | 1,061$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Cristian Garin | 71c | 999.57$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 848.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 834.66$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.86 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 743.56$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.81 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 740.6$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Matteo Arnaldi | 2c | 649.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 645.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Cristian Garin | 60c | 643.92$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…81c4backed Cristian Garin | 78c | 633.16$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 631.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 502.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cristian Garin | 74c | 434.15$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Cristian Garin | 59c | 398.69$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 374.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 357.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Cristian Garin | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Cristian Garin | 60c | 326.66$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cristian Garin | 78c | 300.83$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Cristian Garin | 75c | 294.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Cristian Garin | 68c | 286.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cristian Garin | 59c | 265.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 251.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 247.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cristian Garin | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 236.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 234.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Cristian Garin | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 187.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 185.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Cristian Garin | 74c | 173.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Cristian Garin | 60c | 163.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Cristian Garin | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cristian Garin | 59c | 161.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cristian Garin | 72c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 149.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 139.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Cristian Garin | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 128.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 127.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Cristian Garin | 77c | 120.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 276 | 67%185 W · 91 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cristian Garin | 80c | 109.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 103.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 101.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…c266backed Cristian Garin | 73c | 97.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Cristian Garin | 58c | 89.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…b919backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Cristian Garin | 60c | 85.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 19c | 83.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 80.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 74.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cristian Garin | 68c | 73.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 71.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 70.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 70.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 65.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Cristian Garin | 62c | 63.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Cristian Garin | 63c | 61.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 17c | 61.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…0e7fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cristian Garin | 78c | 54.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…c463backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 51.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…a33bbacked Cristian Garin | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cristian Garin | 70c | 49.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…41f8backed Cristian Garin | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 46.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 39.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Cristian Garin | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…a376backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 30.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Cristian Garin | 58c | 29.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…9065backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfa…9a0fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 28.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cristian Garin | 68c | 27.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Cristian Garin | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Cristian Garin | 78c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Garin vs ArnaldiGarin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.