MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47361969651124625e78ba93b27733d217e256c5b3dce297da356cf514aa6866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 47c | 96,762$45,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,280.27 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 53c | 57,694$30,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,070.82 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 16,281$8,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,679.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.95 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 9,147$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 7,557$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.06 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 5,064$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 48c | 4,313$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 3,173$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.08 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,323$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.04 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 47c | 2,149$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.99 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 1,565$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.55 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 1,527$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.6 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 52c | 1,311$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.36 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 53c | 1,250$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.48 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 54c | 1,184$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.45 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Under | 47c | 1,106$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 1,089$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.09 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Under | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 999.87$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.94 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Over | 53c | 973.77$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 48c | 937.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 866.49$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.92 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 62c | 812.33$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.81 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 771$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.37 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 723.74$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 587.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.7 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 48c | 548.35$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.15 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Under | 47c | 489$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 459.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 458.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 17c | 420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 339.51$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Under | 47c | 326.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 301.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 269.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 260.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 254.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Under | 49c | 232.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…9b26backed Under | 48c | 206.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 53c | 202$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 52c | 187.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 181.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 57c | 166.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Under | 51c | 143.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 48c | 142.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 48c | 128.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 125.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 53c | 120.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 47c | 114.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 55c | 114.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 60c | 100.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 61c | 98.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 97.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 48c | 94.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 54c | 93.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 48c | 85.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 50c | 84.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 47c | 80.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…2e59backed Over | 53c | 80.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 76c | 76.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 52c | 74.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 38c | 72.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 55c | 72.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 51c | 68.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 48c | 68.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 52c | 65.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Over | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 46c | 57.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 52c | 57.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 54c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 48c | 51.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked Over | 51c | 50.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.