MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b85a985512f5834e19d3dda8f523342e21aa0784f032fb0e3939f0343e299a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Chicago White Sox, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 6,166$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 3,623$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.06 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 3,188$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 2,212$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.68 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 2,116$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.61 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 2,037$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.85 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 2,029$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 849.05$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.05 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 764.44$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 749.71$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.36 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 718.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 300.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 291.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 229.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 227.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 202$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 113.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 109.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 94.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 94.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 85.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 79.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 65.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 63.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 58.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 54.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 48.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 46.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 46.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 45.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 44.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 43.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 38.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 20.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.