MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d87f305b07ae964c581e9ce7d0b229ece8df458b2983b149fab47f6fdb60c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 23,327$16,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 13,106$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 34c | 6,406$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 3,061$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 76c | 2,362$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.89 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 48c | 1,818$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.35 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 71c | 1,427$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 65c | 1,070$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.04 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 35c | 914.28$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 56c | 819.31$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.82 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 38c | 722$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 29c | 689.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 645.19$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.79 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 26c | 607.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 36c | 569$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 47c | 447.09$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 370.8$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 8c | 348.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 39c | 314.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 73c | 305$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 37c | 283.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Under | 37c | 278.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Under | 54c | 229.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 212.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Under | 56c | 202.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 28c | 151.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 73c | 148.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 131.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 43c | 131$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 131$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 40c | 117.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 38c | 107.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 38c | 100.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 61c | 90.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 30c | 89.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 40c | 87.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 28c | 84.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 21c | 76.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 28c | 75.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 73c | 74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 60c | 72.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 36c | 69.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 43c | 64.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Under | 48c | 62.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 59.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 58c | 54.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 27c | 54.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Under | 23c | 54.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 28c | 51.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 27c | 51.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 57c | 50.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 40c | 49.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 36c | 46.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 56c | 44.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…6787backed Under | 57c | 39.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 78c | 36.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…6774backed Under | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 58c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 61c | 26.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 73c | 23.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 47c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 20.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Under | 58c | 18.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.