Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547aec6a3f2f03d09e4237cdf3e23bf267201e4f86a225795906d9d869c79156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fordham Ramsof George Washington Revolutionaries, Fordham Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,112 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 56c | 3,768$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.26 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fordham Rams | 44c | 3,619$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 3,061$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.22 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Fordham Rams | 49c | 3,034$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.57 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Fordham Rams | 49c | 1,508$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.32 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…336abacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 1,190$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fordham Rams | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…a3fabacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 892.15$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…2ca0backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 793.03$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 474.18$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fordham Rams | 50c | 453.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Fordham Rams | 46c | 269.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fordham Rams | 48c | 236.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Fordham Rams | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Fordham Rams | 49c | 225.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 156.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 46c | 112.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Fordham Rams | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fordham Rams | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 103.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 102.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Fordham Rams | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fordham Rams | 47c | 58.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 55c | 49.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Fordham Rams | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…44a2backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 54c | 42.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Fordham Rams | 44c | 41.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 56c | 41.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Fordham Rams | 47c | 39.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 58c | 38.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fordham Rams | 50c | 35.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fordham Rams | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 32.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Fordham Rams | 44c | 28.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Fordham Rams | 45c | 25.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Fordham Rams | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 55c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham RamsGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)Fordham Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.