Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2c9c65f48236c7f95e984bd7cc964d541ae07055f426824b5cff800ef06764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fordham Ramsof George Washington Revolutionaries, Fordham Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,808 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.16 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fordham Rams | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Fordham Rams | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.71 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 1,397$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.53 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Fordham Rams | 47c | 1,158$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.11 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 997.59$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.72 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 567.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 45c | 375.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fordham Rams | 56c | 346.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 271.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Fordham Rams | 50c | 247.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 46c | 114.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 99.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Fordham Rams | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Fordham Rams | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fordham Rams | 46c | 44.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Fordham Rams | 47c | 44.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 55c | 42.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 30.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham RamsGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)Fordham Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.