Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7979fe8cc63efed1d4e5a0d19112330700cc10ce8c14d6dedbcb5cee601e136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Wildcatsof UCF Knights, Arizona Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,911 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed UCF Knights | 6c | 12,675$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.41 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed UCF Knights | 4c | 12,483$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.33 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked UCF Knights | 11c | 7,410$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCF Knights | 8c | 3,057$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.75 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights | 4c | 2,550$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked UCF Knights | 6c | 1,293$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed UCF Knights | 1c | 1,093$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed UCF Knights | 6c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCF Knights | 3c | 817.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UCF Knights | 7c | 703.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…a08abacked UCF Knights | 6c | 698.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UCF Knights | 7c | 621.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed UCF Knights | 8c | 577.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed UCF Knights | 5c | 541.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked UCF Knights | 7c | 427.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed UCF Knights | 3c | 320.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UCF Knights | 7c | 299.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked UCF Knights | 8c | 274.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked UCF Knights | 5c | 200.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked UCF Knights | 7c | 199.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed UCF Knights | 8c | 199.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed UCF Knights | 8c | 187.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked UCF Knights | 7c | 149.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed UCF Knights | 7c | 149.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-15.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-16.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 159.5Under won
- UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.