TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah State Aggiesof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Utah State Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,747 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels16c9,253$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.743616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c8,841$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.761,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies76c7,347$5,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.7312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c7,270$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.6918954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Utah State Aggies72c5,326$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.335752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Utah State Aggies76c4,968$3,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.3461652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c4,086$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.322,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Utah State Aggies75c4,033$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.331,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c3,682$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.512,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Utah State Aggies76c3,422$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.171450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels35c3,401$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.443435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah State Aggies76c2,901$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.331,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Utah State Aggies73c2,717$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.171,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c2,391$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.4639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c2,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61255532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c2,197$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.851,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels11c1,250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah State Aggies70c1,125$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.23,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c936.89$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.311,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Utah State Aggies76c681.86$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8318548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c554.07$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.829337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Utah State Aggies75c517.78$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.869454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies77c514$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.093,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Utah State Aggies71c496.4$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.967871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c414.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3616445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels11c398.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.693540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State Aggies72c357.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c297.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.471,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Utah State Aggies73c254.92$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.835062%31 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x641a…a144backed Utah State Aggies75c235.18$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.791566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels7c232.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9825829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah State Aggies63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7484854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4627048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c198.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.671947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+67.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c198.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6710034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c191.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.664,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Utah State Aggies76c185.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Utah State Aggies75c172.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.473638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Utah State Aggies76c149.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5633445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Utah State Aggies75c147.67$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9231448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Utah State Aggies71c136.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels23c124.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3930054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c110.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6135646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Utah State Aggies76c110.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Utah State Aggies76c110.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda5…9c38backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels29c109.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c108.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2882846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116030%18 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c99.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c90.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels30c89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.72,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Utah State Aggies76c84.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x757e…8128backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c79.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.872520%5 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Utah State Aggies76c74.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9110458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c74.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c68.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.366336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Utah State Aggies76c65.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.772382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c53.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.894228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed Utah State Aggies74c50.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.193363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Utah State Aggies78c49.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.025248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Utah State Aggies71c46.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5122047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Utah State Aggies71c43.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.626347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Utah State Aggies76c38.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.393641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0074…68d3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels29c38.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc9…c447backed Utah State Aggies77c37.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Utah State Aggies79c36.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7210638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Utah State Aggies74c33.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Utah State Aggies76c32.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.792564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x798a…cc72backed Utah State Aggies72c27.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c54…98cdbacked Utah State Aggies71c27.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.95955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick74cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Utah State Aggies75c24.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1227650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Utah State Aggies76c24.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.747748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Utah State Aggies79c20.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2419348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec4…8733backed Utah State Aggies76c19.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.641485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb03b…a5dfbacked Utah State Aggies76c17.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.091764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Utah State Aggies74c16.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.