NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a57a1142d50133d6ff9de954d31ef1d51ad7731026e25202ab9f83cb45d3b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,608 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 48c | 96,154$46,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,999.92 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 51,132$26,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,577.35 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 42,529$22,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,034.43 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 20,704$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,654.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 3,881$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.04 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 3,544$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 3,233$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.38 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 52c | 2,550$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.5 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 53c | 1,860$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 7c | 1,181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 1,020$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.5 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 999.69$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.84 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 49c | 969.39$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 52c | 898$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.96 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 691.53$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.6 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 635$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.46 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 603$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.56 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 580.37$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 52c | 572.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 568.15$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 542.19$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 495.07$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 456$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 405.24$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 314$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 300.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 298.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 276.41$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…7029backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 197.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 52c | 188.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 53c | 159.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 52c | 153$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 49c | 136.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked Over | 52c | 136.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 52c | 101.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 52c | 98.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 52c | 85.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 49c | 84.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 52c | 80.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 76.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 49c | 63.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 52c | 62.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…cfeabacked Over | 52c | 57.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 50c | 57.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 57.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 52c | 47.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 52c | 47.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…05babacked Over | 51c | 47.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 52c | 43.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92b…cc3fbacked Over | 53c | 43.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…6ecbbacked Over | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…f602backed Under | 49c | 40.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 52c | 39.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 42c | 39.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…9723backed Under | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…75abbacked Over | 52c | 35.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 52c | 34.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Over | 53c | 34.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 49c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Over | 52c | 29.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 52c | 27.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d7…0227backed Over | 52c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…289abacked Over | 52c | 23.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Over | 52c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…48a3backed Over | 52c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 52c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…a3b6backed Over | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed Over | 52c | 19.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.