NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecf4341eaa43d26ca386d5ea75770bbbb8b6376836b175df136c7c4152733dd

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,019 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	57c	10,237$5,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,401.85	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	43c	8,500$3,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,652.55	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd51d…7b70backed Under	51c	3,913$1,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,917.37	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…e6bcbacked Under	51c	3,802$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,862.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfa…4c08backed Under	51c	3,701$1,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,813.49	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4a…13d7backed Under	51c	3,601$1,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,764.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefd7…1ebfbacked Under	51c	3,505$1,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,717.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4e…f582backed Under	51c	3,131$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534.19	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a60…57fbbacked Under	51c	3,044$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,491.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	44c	3,031$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.27	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127d…fa1dbacked Under	51c	2,611$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…e81dbacked Over	49c	2,552$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b30…a52cbacked Over	49c	2,491$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c1…c467backed Under	51c	2,455$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,202.95	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdc8…96bdbacked Over	49c	2,321$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdda…1ecebacked Over	49c	2,291$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f2…f87abacked Under	51c	2,289$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb144…e6b4backed Over	49c	2,288$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3a…e9e6backed Under	51c	2,288$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ee…4563backed Over	49c	2,263$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…525ebacked Under	51c	2,230$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2a…cba8backed Over	49c	2,222$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7244…2985backed Under	51c	2,105$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.45	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d70…5422backed Over	49c	2,062$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xced9…0ffcbacked Under	51c	2,020$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd661…9868backed Over	49c	2,016$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab7b…7da6backed Over	49c	1,929$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x774d…ce0dbacked Under	51c	1,877$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c93…5f73backed Over	49c	1,857$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed8…c171backed Over	49c	1,756$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55b0…70f2backed Over	49c	1,701$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d4…c7c9backed Over	49c	1,700$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4576…1345backed Over	49c	1,688$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba3…2994backed Over	49c	1,666$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6db…aa2ebacked Over	49c	1,639$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed13…3985backed Over	49c	1,589$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…0157backed Over	49c	1,535$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3f…737bbacked Over	49c	1,525$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d1f…6436backed Over	49c	1,433$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b45…8594backed Over	49c	1,433$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a93…d5eabacked Over	49c	1,311$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	54c	1,129$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.51	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d5…0458backed Under	51c	953$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.97	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	58c	498.31$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.68	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	59c	450.85$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.85	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under	57c	405.2$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.24	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	49c	405$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.05	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	42c	370.67$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.51	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…f48dbacked Over	49c	299$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under	58c	220$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.4	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	44c	148.93$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.27	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e55…4d88backed Under	51c	131$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad8e…9640backed Under	51c	130$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60c1…ed18backed Over	49c	128$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x562f…efb5backed Under	51c	128$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e1…49bbbacked Under	51c	125$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28c…4eccbacked Over	49c	122$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc7a…8dd0backed Over	49c	118$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	43c	114.23$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.82	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1652…edf4backed Over	49c	112$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Under	59c	111$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.51	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Over	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	43c	86.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.41	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Under	63c	79.52$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.52	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under	58c	70.12$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.45	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under	59c	68.17$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.17	108	50%54 W · 54 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over	42c	60.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	42c	58.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed Over	43c	58.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over	50c	58.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over	40c	50.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	137	46%63 W · 74 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	693	37.8%262 W · 431 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under	56c	45.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.94	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	45c	35.55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	60c	34.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da9…2c15backed Under	52c	32.59$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.64	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	63c	29.42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.89	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	53c	23.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.93	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-7.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcd8…e076backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. BullsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5No won
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Isaac Okoro: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bulls won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bulls won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bulls won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bulls won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bulls won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event