NBA · resolved market
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b64b405ad459bffa09ed027f6fb4b7030c71f3ceb4b57940ead9a4ea632d116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Yes | 28c | 175.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…683cbacked Yes | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 73c | 130.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 72c | 89.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 72c | 86.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Yes | 31c | 53.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 72c | 26.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. ThunderThunder won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.