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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arkansas Razorbacksof Ole Miss Rebels, Arkansas Razorbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,218 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c9,513$7,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.022,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Ole Miss Rebels26c8,499$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.754436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c6,554$5,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.391,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Ole Miss Rebels21c6,401$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.161,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…54a7backed Arkansas Razorbacks80c3,214$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.413363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1d…3b8fbacked Ole Miss Rebels9c2,991$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ole Miss Rebels21c2,955$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.2839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Ole Miss Rebels10c2,426$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0249345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Ole Miss Rebels24c2,081$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8214325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Ole Miss Rebels19c1,989$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.1441752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks79c1,983$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.14,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks74c1,970$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.3474152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Ole Miss Rebels27c1,599$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.931,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Ole Miss Rebels30c1,458$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.134825%12 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Arkansas Razorbacks76c1,439$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Ole Miss Rebels21c1,395$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.966720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cbe…1c79backed Ole Miss Rebels31c1,253$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-72.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels17c1,118$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.035,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Arkansas Razorbacks80c1,078$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.76538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels18c921.8$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Ole Miss Rebels11c891.16$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.442934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Ole Miss Rebels17c830.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.456023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed Ole Miss Rebels12c824.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.634025%10 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Ole Miss Rebels19c790.33$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2911741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ole Miss Rebels30c769.94$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.793,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks79c735.28$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.612,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks80c626.47$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2937142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Ole Miss Rebels10c600.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0116243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Ole Miss Rebels18c552.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.482433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c540.7$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8531646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ole Miss Rebels29c533.84$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.981,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ole Miss Rebels8c526.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.624,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas Razorbacks78c507.81$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.921,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Ole Miss Rebels20c478.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.477655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Arkansas Razorbacks69c430.12$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.318757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ole Miss Rebels7c395$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0114450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Ole Miss Rebels27c384.34$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7713560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Ole Miss Rebels30c341.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.247044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Ole Miss Rebels22c317.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.581157%8 W · 107 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Ole Miss Rebels20c309.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.091,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Arkansas Razorbacks66c300.65$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Ole Miss Rebels21c281.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0124737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf253…f8c9backed Ole Miss Rebels14c277.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d7…e8babacked Arkansas Razorbacks79c251.35$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks65c248.01$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0216746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ole Miss Rebels16c223.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.051,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Ole Miss Rebels23c215.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.619341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Ole Miss Rebels13c199.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.930152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ole Miss Rebels30c199.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6225829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Arkansas Razorbacks76c198.72$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6927358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Ole Miss Rebels28c195.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7214027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Ole Miss Rebels19c170.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.971010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-82%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Arkansas Razorbacks79c167.58$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.352065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Ole Miss Rebels37c160.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.511717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Ole Miss Rebels27c154.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.765925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Ole Miss Rebels21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba30…2a30backed Ole Miss Rebels14c142.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Ole Miss Rebels9c130.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.484231%13 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c125.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.439470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Arkansas Razorbacks69c116.07$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ole Miss Rebels23c107.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1726945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d04…19f6backed Arkansas Razorbacks75c105.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ole Miss Rebels23c102.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Ole Miss Rebels21c101.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.255752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2149157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Ole Miss Rebels19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196030%18 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ee…1e45backed Ole Miss Rebels11c99.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Ole Miss Rebels27c99.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d00…7507backed Ole Miss Rebels20c97.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c95.95$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.335152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…c7bebacked Arkansas Razorbacks79c94.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.134447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c93.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3919057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ole Miss Rebels22c87.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.491,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Ole Miss Rebels13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.414354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ole Miss Rebels21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.833445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ole Miss Rebels34c66.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.662,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Ole Miss Rebels34c65.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3814459%85 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Arkansas Razorbacks72c59.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Ole Miss Rebels19c56.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9735338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Ole Miss Rebels28c53.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.894719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Ole Miss Rebels20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Ole Miss Rebels27c43.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6232…85e5backed Arkansas Razorbacks78c40.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.815972.9%43 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6702…0fefbacked Ole Miss Rebels26c38.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Arkansas Razorbacks79c31.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.613145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…0619backed Arkansas Razorbacks75c23.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe651…4661backed Arkansas Razorbacks80c23.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks64c19.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.143540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Arkansas Razorbacks77c18.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.383737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Arkansas Razorbacks80c16.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.223161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb03b…a5dfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks79c14.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.