Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec0ab5ed8ee49bcf12e15dacbd29cf815b2552fe6d7c00a63f6c4ab5d151c75a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,373 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 11,817$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.11 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,977$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 3,298$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 2,822$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…ad46backed Under | 55c | 1,502$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 55c | 1,102$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Over | 10c | 863.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 800.51$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.41 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 732.26$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 521.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 248.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…e8babacked Over | 53c | 213.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 48c | 156.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 52c | 98.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Under | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 52c | 43.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 40.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…b543backed Under | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 33.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 49c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Over | 51c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5this page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 155.5Over won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-6.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.