NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80a2a8a956a410d6abb9088753428260e2797536105a43c789fa31c9fca80e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Utah, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,623 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Utah | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Utah | 45c | 4,665$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.68 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks | 50c | 2,826$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.19 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 50c | 1,741$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blackhawks | 61c | 705.13$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.23 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Utah | 44c | 360.71$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Blackhawks | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2e34backed Utah | 45c | 256.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…7126backed Blackhawks | 56c | 222.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Blackhawks | 55c | 221.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…cf2dbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 213.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96f…7883backed Utah | 45c | 191.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…227ebacked Utah | 45c | 189.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…9098backed Blackhawks | 56c | 175.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…80b1backed Blackhawks | 56c | 166.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…a7c7backed Utah | 45c | 142.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Utah | 45c | 140.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Blackhawks | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Blackhawks | 56c | 87.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Utah | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…eec3backed Blackhawks | 56c | 86.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…7074backed Utah | 45c | 84.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 77.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…ef56backed Utah | 45c | 77.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…8e9ebacked Blackhawks | 56c | 75.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…c5ebbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 75.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…3999backed Utah | 45c | 74.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e90…9468backed Utah | 45c | 69.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 68.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…a209backed Blackhawks | 56c | 68.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Utah | 25c | 59.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Utah | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Blackhawks | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Blackhawks | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Utah | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Utah | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Blackhawks | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Utah | 45c | 33.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Blackhawks | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…94e2backed Utah | 45c | 29.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Blackhawks | 56c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…2a07backed Utah | 45c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…2827backed Blackhawks | 56c | 24.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…c586backed Utah | 45c | 24.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Blackhawks | 56c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Blackhawks | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…8ddebacked Blackhawks | 56c | 19.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…2b93backed Blackhawks | 56c | 18.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. UtahBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.