NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc501cdb722344e998796db7d08df196e9595f21c9159fe338dbd3f48795a3096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,538 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x769c…121cbacked Over | 27c | 507$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…2728backed Over | 27c | 441$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…287abacked Over | 27c | 412$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…f351backed Over | 27c | 361$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…edc8backed Over | 27c | 315$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…db9fbacked Over | 27c | 309$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…9316backed Over | 27c | 294$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…1fd3backed Over | 27c | 293$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…ed32backed Over | 27c | 289$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…dc96backed Over | 27c | 284$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…e585backed Over | 27c | 279$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…c208backed Under | 73c | 270$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…78eabacked Under | 73c | 268$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefc…8218backed Under | 73c | 267$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…3213backed Under | 73c | 265$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…fa68backed Under | 73c | 264$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…62edbacked Under | 73c | 263$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…1ab2backed Over | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…0dddbacked Under | 73c | 257$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…98dabacked Over | 27c | 249$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…1f31backed Under | 73c | 249$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…2c48backed Under | 73c | 245$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…1678backed Under | 73c | 228$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…60ecbacked Under | 73c | 227$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…a3e3backed Under | 73c | 224$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…99edbacked Over | 27c | 224$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…007abacked Under | 73c | 224$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…7a04backed Under | 73c | 212$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…e6fcbacked Under | 73c | 208$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…ed81backed Under | 73c | 206$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…bca9backed Over | 27c | 205$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…fc7bbacked Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…6d8cbacked Under | 73c | 193$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…bc0bbacked Under | 73c | 177$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…a01fbacked Under | 73c | 173$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…f0cbbacked Under | 73c | 167$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…6529backed Under | 73c | 154$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…7847backed Under | 73c | 152$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…0100backed Under | 73c | 146$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…e9a2backed Over | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 33c | 35.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 68c | 24.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. UtahBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.