MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9914bbae37feb1433241d0869f7e9f5bcaeb47bf3595cbf771ecff3eed6b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Twins, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Reds | 53c | 21,703$11,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,249.07 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 39c | 16,779$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 12c | 15,519$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.02 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Reds | 55c | 7,181$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 11c | 6,923$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.32 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…75d2backed Twins | 48c | 5,510$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 45c | 4,080$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 46c | 3,778$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.8 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 48c | 3,344$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 46c | 2,931$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.39 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 54c | 2,900$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.82 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 52c | 2,597$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.76 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 35c | 2,248$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 30c | 1,416$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.29 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 46c | 1,388$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Reds | 56c | 1,200$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 46c | 1,167$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.35 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 44c | 1,167$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.34 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 26c | 1,150$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.81 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 44c | 1,100$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Twins | 47c | 1,061$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Twins | 26c | 1,001$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Reds | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Reds | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Reds | 55c | 882$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Twins | 51c | 858.15$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…be48backed Reds | 79c | 850.14$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Twins | 45c | 830.58$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Reds | 46c | 828.16$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 47c | 810.61$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Twins | 5c | 733.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 48c | 643.04$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 50c | 550$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.39 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Twins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Reds | 76c | 396.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Reds | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Twins | 15c | 352.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Twins | 45c | 299.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 46c | 279$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 46c | 275.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Twins | 45c | 236.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 37c | 225.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 60c | 220.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Twins | 20c | 218.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Twins | 46c | 215.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Twins | 46c | 202$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 69c | 178.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Reds | 54c | 149$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 20c | 146.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952f…ce6dbacked Reds | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Twins | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Twins | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Twins | 12c | 109.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…1367backed Reds | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Twins | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…65b5backed Twins | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Twins | 45c | 83.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…ba65backed Twins | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 57c | 71.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Twins | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Twins | 49c | 64.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6b…f80dbacked Twins | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…ffb5backed Reds | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Reds | 55c | 55.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Reds | 78c | 50.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Twins | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Reds | 51c | 43.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Twins | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Reds | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Twins | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Reds | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 52c | 33.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…951cbacked Reds | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68b2backed Twins | 50c | 33.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Twins | 45c | 32.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Twins | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…b050backed Twins | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Twins | 45c | 27.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…41a4backed Reds | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9c…9897backed Reds | 54c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Twins | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Reds | 74c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Reds | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Reds | 51c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Twins | 49c | 20.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Reds | 78c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Reds | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.