Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Draper (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed7e86be6ed1900a4b92bbb5c77ff8d780f1b491512543cd6afd796a6c903fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Draperof Djokovic, Draper
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,164 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Djokovic | 0c | 5,570$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Draper | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 42c | 1,930$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.59 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…da97backed Djokovic | 38c | 1,169$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Djokovic | 20c | 1,151$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Djokovic | 34c | 605.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Draper | 68c | 496.18$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Draper | 67c | 482.24$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Draper | 63c | 404.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Draper | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Draper | 59c | 294.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Djokovic | 36c | 278.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Draper | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Draper | 64c | 225.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Draper | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Djokovic | 38c | 189.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Draper | 67c | 185.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Draper | 65c | 184.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Djokovic | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Djokovic | 35c | 136.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Djokovic | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Djokovic | 34c | 105.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Djokovic | 28c | 100.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Djokovic | 44c | 89.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Djokovic | 27c | 87.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Djokovic | 20c | 73.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -9.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Djokovic | 34c | 71.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Draper | 63c | 65.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Draper | 61c | 60.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4070…e018backed Djokovic | 73c | 56.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Djokovic | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…ecbdbacked Djokovic | 33c | 53.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Draper | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Draper | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Djokovic | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Draper | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Djokovic | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Draper | 41c | 40.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Draper | 65c | 39.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…53bcbacked Draper | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…df81backed Draper | 56c | 32.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Djokovic | 36c | 31.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Draper | 63c | 31.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…312bbacked Draper | 38c | 30.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Djokovic | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Draper | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Draper | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Draper (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack DraperJack Draper won
- Djokovic vs. Draper: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Draper: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Draper: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Draper: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Djokovic vs. Draper: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Novak Djokovic vs. Jack Draper: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs DraperDjokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.