MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf360170f74f27e644ade7bdbb012e118f10cfdf280eeff474fadbbe2502bfef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Mets, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $538,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $538,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Mets | 45c | 440,081$197,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,946.54 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 56c | 164,588$92,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,470.9 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Braves | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 55c | 96,220$52,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,248.66 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mets | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Braves | 55c | 16,091$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.06 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 55c | 16,016$8,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,226.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Mets | 42c | 14,782$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.69 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 55c | 13,751$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 55c | 13,345$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.03 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 47c | 8,219$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.99 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 55c | 8,002$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.36 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 55c | 6,245$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 55c | 5,335$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.71 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Braves | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Braves | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 51c | 3,897$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 49c | 3,741$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.45 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 53c | 2,502$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.92 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mets | 45c | 2,376$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 29c | 2,279$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.3 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Braves | 55c | 2,222$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.16 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Braves | 55c | 2,208$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.69 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Braves | 74c | 2,109$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.2 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Mets | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3257backed Mets | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 52cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 2c | 1,798$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Braves | 62c | 1,559$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.38 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 2c | 1,364$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Mets | 39c | 1,339$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.68 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Braves | 59c | 1,319$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets | 2c | 1,201$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mets | 3c | 1,182$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 48c | 1,162$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mets | 45c | 1,160$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.84 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Braves | 60c | 1,081$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…aeb6backed Braves | 60c | 984.65$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Braves | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Braves | 55c | 949.38$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 54c | 937$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…6730backed Braves | 64c | 906.2$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Braves | 56c | 891.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Braves | 56c | 876.06$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.71 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 48c | 837.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 45c | 746.92$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.11 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 55c | 711.87$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mets | 46c | 668.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Mets | 45c | 607.44$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mets | 44c | 586.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 56c | 570$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mets | 56c | 536.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Mets | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Mets | 45c | 484.06$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Mets | 43c | 466.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 73c | 466.26$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mets | 12c | 440.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Mets | 23c | 427.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mets | 45c | 399.96$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mets | 43c | 363.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 55c | 332.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Braves | 53c | 300.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Mets | 48c | 277.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Mets | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Mets | 44c | 248$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Mets | 43c | 224.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Mets | 45c | 221.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 53c | 208$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 55c | 203$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Mets | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…8494backed Mets | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Mets | 45c | 198.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 45c | 189.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Braves | 53c | 165.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Braves | 61c | 150.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Braves | 56c | 149.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked Mets | 45c | 145.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mets | 56c | 143.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…487dbacked Mets | 45c | 137.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Mets | 45c | 127.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Braves | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Braves | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Braves | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Braves | 56c | 118.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…24a6backed Braves | 56c | 116.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Braves | 57c | 112.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mets | 44c | 105.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Mets | 45c | 104.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Mets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.