TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Mets, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$451,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Mets36c300,882$107,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,067.6816643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Braves65c135,526$88,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,434.1744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Braves76c117,813$88,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,837.8115353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves64c26,375$16,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,494.8586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves64c19,289$12,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,944.0441850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Mets35c14,280$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.954940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Mets41c12,706$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Braves64c11,111$7,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.9660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Braves59c9,893$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.9497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves63c8,005$5,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9521,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves64c5,613$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.232,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves64c5,500$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mets23c4,230$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98825835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Braves65c4,200$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4704776.6%36 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves65c4,091$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.11,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Braves64c3,098$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.2276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Mets38c2,979$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves61c2,550$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.4243654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Mets36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mets39c1,436$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mets3c1,297$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Mets35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Braves62c1,125$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.567554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Braves61c1,123$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.971,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets1c1,110$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.265053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Mets1c1,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Mets11c1,054$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mets38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mets35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23a8…7f02backed Braves64c822$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.921241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Braves60c802.12$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.931,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb528…75d2backed Braves65c788$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mets36c750.42$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f7…3257backed Braves63c750$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.51010%1 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.42per pick52cpaid-84.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Mets9c667.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves61c620.07$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.835,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Mets13c603.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7952542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b39…efc0backed Braves63c595.91$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.49540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets37c499.77$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9251151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets36c499.77$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Mets5c460.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets37c446$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.021,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Mets38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mets13c380.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mets23c363.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacad…bceabacked Braves63c340.56$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.011947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Mets34c299.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9920448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Mets35c296.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.566038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Mets35c285.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Mets36c279$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Mets36c277.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.789237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets38c277.01$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6899951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Braves62c256.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.186746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Mets36c175$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Mets35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Mets12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74d…b1eebacked Braves62c153$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Mets11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.430740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mets39c138.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.883,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Mets16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Braves65c122$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.717351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x625f…72c1backed Braves62c122$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Mets21c120.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513021.5%28 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0f…43e2backed Mets13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Mets35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8af7…4012backed Mets39c111$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mets38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3940…fe11backed Braves62c103$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Mets39c103$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1714146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves63c102$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.742,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mets14c100.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.125416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Braves66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mets39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mets39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mets37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8e…45a1backed Mets39c98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…e321backed Mets39c86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa635…d1d6backed Mets39c83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Braves62c67.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5919742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Braves62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5225954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Braves64c62.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7923852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac4…e637backed Mets39c62.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves77c61.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.174,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mets35c57.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0317930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Braves65c57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9551955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Braves62c55.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2740352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…66e6backed Mets35c54.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.191361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves75c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.266,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Mets39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Braves63c50.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.794158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed Mets38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194139%16 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeace…fe6abacked Mets39c46.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813247%62 W · 70 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Braves62c43.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.79747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc811…a5b9backed Mets26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Braves64c39.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.344143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5547…ca51backed Mets38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb27…20dfbacked Braves61c36.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.