MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee77eafc72018a95ebb28378c394a438344cd15f7d460517dcdcc2531cc7f213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Athletics, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Athletics | 42c | 52,222$21,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,908.03 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 42c | 34,000$14,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,280 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 41c | 30,449$12,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,484.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Tigers | 59c | 25,410$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,410.16 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.96 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Tigers | 60c | 20,245$12,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 58c | 20,206$11,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 58c | 19,213$11,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,069.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Tigers | 58c | 12,076$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.99 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…cf55backed Tigers | 61c | 9,995$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…bffebacked Athletics | 39c | 9,995$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 66c | 9,732$6,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 42c | 9,494$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.63 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Athletics | 20c | 6,080$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.76 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Tigers | 58c | 5,975$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 43c | 5,361$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.15 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Tigers | 59c | 4,596$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.67 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 57c | 4,282$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.03 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Athletics | 41c | 4,146$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 58c | 4,102$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers | 74c | 3,633$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Tigers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…ee55backed Tigers | 61c | 2,682$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…140bbacked Athletics | 39c | 2,681$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 39c | 2,628$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.66 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 61c | 2,440$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.61 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Tigers | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Athletics | 42c | 2,255$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.53 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…5581backed Athletics | 39c | 2,020$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 58c | 2,016$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.72 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 41c | 2,000$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.18 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Athletics | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers | 60c | 1,968$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.31 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…bea2backed Athletics | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…8525backed Athletics | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Tigers | 62c | 1,668$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Athletics | 38c | 1,666$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…970bbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,627$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Athletics | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 27c | 1,509$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Tigers | 60c | 1,370$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics | 27c | 1,101$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…b741backed Athletics | 40c | 1,020$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 40c | 999.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…455dbacked Tigers | 61c | 964$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…2143backed Tigers | 60c | 883$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…9010backed Tigers | 60c | 867$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…6677backed Tigers | 61c | 836$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Tigers | 61c | 824.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.34 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Athletics | 40c | 790.35$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Tigers | 60c | 729$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 7c | 700.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Tigers | 63c | 671.6$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Athletics | 40c | 641.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Athletics | 42c | 627.29$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Tigers | 58c | 624.31$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 17c | 619.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…8529backed Tigers | 65c | 615.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Athletics | 41c | 558.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.38 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 40c | 544.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Athletics | 29c | 511.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…fb7cbacked Athletics | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Tigers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 60c | 499.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Athletics | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers | 60c | 390$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Tigers | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Tigers | 61c | 340.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Athletics | 40c | 326.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Tigers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 38c | 295$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers | 59c | 294.41$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Tigers | 57c | 291.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 7c | 276.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…0941backed Tigers | 58c | 271.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics | 41c | 269.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Tigers | 61c | 267.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Athletics | 38c | 259.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Athletics | 28c | 258.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 40c | 258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Athletics | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Tigers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed Tigers | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers | 62c | 243.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Athletics | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 42c | 238.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tigers | 57c | 234.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 37c | 219.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics | 39c | 218.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Tigers | 60c | 200.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…b86bbacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 38c | 199.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Athletics | 39c | 198.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.