MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa04b86b2e0140175764feffa3a774e929fde66366c99fa4b368bc53c77247e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Yankees, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Reds | 40c | 130,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,999.99 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yankees | 60c | 66,004$39,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,602.24 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yankees | 60c | 59,735$35,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,840.71 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 40c | 39,735$15,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,845.12 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yankees | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Yankees | 60c | 21,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yankees | 47c | 12,691$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yankees | 48c | 11,456$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.3 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 51c | 10,100$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…4318backed Yankees | 60c | 9,997$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…7484backed Reds | 40c | 9,995$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yankees | 56c | 7,444$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 59c | 6,566$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.97 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 59c | 5,443$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Reds | 42c | 4,831$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.29 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 60c | 4,415$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.72 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Reds | 40c | 3,925$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.98 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 59c | 3,327$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.88 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yankees | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 49c | 2,987$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.93 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 59c | 2,975$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.97 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 41c | 2,797$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 80c | 2,665$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.03 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 41c | 2,665$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.11 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 40c | 2,104$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.11 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…1e7dbacked Yankees | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 61c | 2,000$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.56 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yankees | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Reds | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Reds | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Reds | 41c | 1,718$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yankees | 21c | 1,717$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Yankees | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,654$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 60c | 1,632$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Yankees | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Yankees | 30c | 1,400$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 46c | 974.18$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yankees | 25c | 921.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 60c | 828$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Reds | 24c | 821.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.38 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 47c | 815.36$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 38c | 772.63$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.83 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Yankees | 60c | 717$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.2 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Reds | 56c | 678.15$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yankees | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 41c | 646$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.14 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yankees | 41c | 635.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 70c | 601$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 48c | 552.63$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…75d2backed Reds | 40c | 497.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees | 50c | 456.4$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 42c | 450.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 39c | 438.52$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 60c | 438.47$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Yankees | 54c | 428.33$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Yankees | 58c | 427.38$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.88 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Reds | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Yankees | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yankees | 33c | 399.7$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 41c | 362.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yankees | 14c | 362.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Yankees | 36c | 360.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Reds | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Yankees | 56c | 324.2$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yankees | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 39c | 277$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yankees | 38c | 264.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yankees | 59c | 244$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Yankees | 55c | 218.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Reds | 58c | 215.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yankees | 43c | 210.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Yankees | 58c | 203.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Yankees | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…669dbacked Yankees | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Reds | 47c | 180.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees | 56c | 174$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Yankees | 61c | 165.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yankees | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Reds | 50c | 143.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yankees | 40c | 127.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Yankees | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 41c | 121.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…75c3backed Yankees | 53c | 121.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Yankees | 41c | 118.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yankees | 60c | 111.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…e01dbacked Yankees | 53c | 109.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Yankees | 59c | 107.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees | 60c | 100.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.