Euroleague · resolved market
EuroBasket: Finland vs. Georgia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c49cee25cc0a6c8a0bcec9c0de2ed1932b8e542651b6a0394df799aa64572f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Finlandof Finland, Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Georgia | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Finland | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Finland | 65c | 1,003$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Georgia | 36c | 996.8$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia | 34c | 726.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Finland | 64c | 698.58$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Finland | 57c | 547.23$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Georgia | 26c | 446.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgia | 12c | 387.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Georgia | 26c | 333$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…8618backed Finland | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Finland | 64c | 158.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Finland | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Georgia | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Finland | 64c | 91.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fd…f89ebacked Finland | 66c | 75.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…76a3backed Georgia | 38c | 75.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Finland | 66c | 72.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Georgia | 36c | 67.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Georgia | 41c | 40.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Finland | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Finland | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Finland | 63c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Finland | 64c | 22.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.