CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf87cc9084d330eb013bc57ada2d7eae916e38a99fc53dda856a3dc885c0ea1c

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Trickedof Heroic, Tricked
Resolved: Mar 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,156 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd705…fb7cbacked Tricked	41c	3,962$1,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,317.96	325	36%117 W · 208 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic	49c	3,755$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,845.73	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Tricked	60c	1,834$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.1	145	55.2%80 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic	46c	1,428$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.33	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic	51c	1,272$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.48	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Heroic	62c	1,024$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.76	807	44.6%360 W · 447 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Tricked	29c	893.75$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.56	209	42.1%88 W · 121 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Tricked	54c	813.36$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.89	365	54.8%200 W · 165 L	+23.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x933c…a011backed Heroic	55c	547.17$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.8	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic	57c	542.61$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.96	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked	30c	520.01$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.42	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Heroic	51c	481.75$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	112	40.2%45 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Heroic	50c	454.23$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.79	623	50.9%317 W · 306 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Heroic	63c	403.3$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.6	169	47.9%81 W · 88 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed Tricked	51c	398.43$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.06	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed Heroic	55c	275.65$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.61	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heroic	33c	262$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.71	567	32.5%184 W · 383 L	-30.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Tricked	61c	224.97$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.74	608	53.3%324 W · 284 L	+20.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf586…e81bbacked Heroic	48c	206.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Heroic	49c	204.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Heroic	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.69	583	43.6%254 W · 329 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Heroic	58c	171.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	676	51.8%350 W · 326 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic	50c	165.06$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.12	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Heroic	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	1,146	43.5%499 W · 647 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Heroic	53c	150$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	491	43%211 W · 280 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tricked	32c	149.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.19	608	48%292 W · 316 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Heroic	52c	147$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.44	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic	43c	133.12$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.62	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Heroic	43c	130$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.5	840	37.9%318 W · 522 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Heroic	44c	129$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	259	34%88 W · 171 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Heroic	55c	128$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.72	292	44.5%130 W · 162 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2038…cebfbacked Heroic	41c	119.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.08	217	35%76 W · 141 L	-17.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Tricked	22c	117$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.26	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Tricked	27c	111.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.62	374	45.7%171 W · 203 L	-29.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a8…6e3ebacked Tricked	47c	106.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Heroic	58c	104.67$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	696	35.3%246 W · 450 L	-49.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Heroic	49c	100.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	324	43.5%141 W · 183 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Tricked	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	223	49.8%111 W · 112 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Heroic	44c	81.96$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.66	223	24.7%55 W · 168 L	-21.2wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic	39c	79$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.81	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Heroic	54c	77.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.46	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	+6.9wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Heroic	60c	72.45$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.34	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	+8.0wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Tricked	32c	64.5$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.86	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Tricked	47c	64.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.39	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic	46c	59.84$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.67	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Tricked	47c	57.02$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	386	36%139 W · 247 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Tricked	55c	55.01$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06fd…2a05backed Tricked	46c	54.33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.34	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic	60c	54$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Heroic	57c	52.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	416	40.6%169 W · 247 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Tricked	54c	50.9$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.45	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Tricked	49c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Tricked	30c	45.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Heroic	51c	45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	452	24.3%110 W · 342 L	-52.4wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfeb9…b98fbacked Heroic	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…a933backed Tricked	35c	42.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.42	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb649…e988backed Tricked	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed Tricked	44c	40.15$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Tricked	54c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.32	247	47%116 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9221…8b6dbacked Heroic	63c	36.63$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Heroic	46c	32.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Heroic	57c	31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	543	46.2%251 W · 292 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Tricked	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31f6…1b20backed Heroic	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Tricked	46c	29.05$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.59	493	76.1%375 W · 118 L	+96.8wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x3dac…654bbacked Heroic	42c	28.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Heroic	45c	28.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc7…ec2abacked Heroic	56c	26.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Heroic	57c	26.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Heroic	57c	26.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	700	36.1%253 W · 447 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Tricked	40c	25.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Tricked	51c	20.21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.99	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Heroic	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Heroic	70c	19.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	470	53.2%250 W · 220 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf040…d11fbacked Tricked	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsTricked won
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Tricked (+1.5)Tricked won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event