CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Prestige (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde9a870fc13d5757f3e2cbbed24e6b1603440145fee0e9cfa19ee0a983e2dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, Prestige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf96f…51d0backed Prestige | 20c | 2,883$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…11d3backed Prestige | 20c | 2,750$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb774…6700backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 2,597$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…b8b9backed Prestige | 30c | 2,597$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…43cfbacked Prestige | 20c | 2,520$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…f763backed Prestige | 21c | 1,161$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…6d64backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f5…1424backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 1,041$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…a1c6backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 1,026$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…321fbacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 978$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…4b85backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 977$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Prestige | 2c | 945$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Prestige | 25c | 903.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…85a6backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 878$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Prestige | 22c | 843.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…9f1bbacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 841$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…ba2cbacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 814$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…49c3backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 801$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc761…0470backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 795$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf069…a2b5backed Prestige | 21c | 760$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 712.74$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Prestige | 15c | 647.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…113cbacked Prestige | 21c | 637$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…b142backed Prestige | 20c | 623$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…9405backed Prestige | 20c | 621$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6309…cf46backed Prestige | 21c | 595$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…a53abacked Prestige | 31c | 574.06$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a633backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 570$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…7aacbacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 485$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…c8cdbacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 389$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe374…3b31backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 357$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149c…ff0fbacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 357$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…f806backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 334$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…9076backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 275$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9319…4407backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 266$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7709backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 264$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…31b9backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 261$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…abd8backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 248$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 184.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 180.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Prestige | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Prestige | 23c | 119.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Prestige | 11c | 117.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Prestige | 19c | 104.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked ECSTATIC | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Prestige | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Prestige | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…50b2backed Prestige | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Prestige | 16c | 94.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Prestige | 22c | 87.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Prestige | 20c | 62.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Prestige | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…6ed4backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd1…eddabacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2181…8fefbacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9172…7f49backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked ECSTATIC | 75c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.