TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9172…7f49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$54.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$28.25
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$68.88
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$52.93
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.02
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$30.88
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70%+$42.73
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$81.82
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.26
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$48.34
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.94
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$52.15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$20.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.75
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.3
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$96.71
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$166.45
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$117.57
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.59
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.91
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.43
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$4.83
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.75
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$8.78
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.99
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.2
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.03
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41.77
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.38
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.86
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.08
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.03
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$27.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$126.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$3.77
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Prestige (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Abacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.46
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$25.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.88
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$16.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$19.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$44.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-49.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$12.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.