TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed No56c55,053$30,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,223.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes44c51,675$22,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,736.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No34c15,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.8831947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c12,124$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,273.584,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c10,192$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320.315547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed No34c10,000$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,589.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+139.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes68c9,491$6,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.441225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes60c8,283$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes42c7,072$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No32c6,689$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.8476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes43c5,976$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.623748.6%18 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No57c5,647$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Yes68c5,135$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,491.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c4,310$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.2569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c3,058$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No7c2,433$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+138.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c2,291$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.481,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No8c2,063$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+241.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c1,814$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.431,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes57c1,537$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.521,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked No4c1,500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No57c877$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No57c876.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.871471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c875.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.332,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes67c830.79$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.051526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No57c826$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.96544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes8c703.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.947436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c699.22$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed No40c687.08$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed No57c599.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2582339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No57c551.9$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7133551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes71c453.09$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No50c406.65$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4748950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c397.85$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes52c381.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No4c355.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.832941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+114.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No57c353.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.215763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes6c332.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9827024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes4c292.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No58c274.05$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.117339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c231.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.711,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes43c221.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes42c220.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.418247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes45c211.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes65c207.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8229643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes22c204.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No77c202.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.196746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8617062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes42c193.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3923243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c192.56$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7554340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c188.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb147…30a4backed Yes11c183.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes66c175.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.099660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes66c171.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.314253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes66c166.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.289358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No51c154.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5512531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d0f…912cbacked Yes64c152.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes8c148.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4340821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c148.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5438233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes44c140.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.989141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No17c140$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.765530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c6…4314backed Yes40c125.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes46c122.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.625429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes43c111.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes19c107.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes43c102.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb10…5080backed No59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411844.9%53 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4221648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.577032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No52c99.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.481442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes36c98.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.712040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c98.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No65c97.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.198159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes18c93.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6920440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No32c90$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.23171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Yes42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.86645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…71ffbacked Yes67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No44c87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.952885.7%24 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+45.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2a2b…4b88backed No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No58c79.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.267950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09c…fc57backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8997…eb15backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes69c69.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0628456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No65c67.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5914055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-61.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Yes44c58.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c58.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.