Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7d00f06a15fdecdb975f2e4027bbdb7d23b1b9504f5b5c051535e1a966ae2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 4,338$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 11c | 3,496$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 2,243$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 1,945$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 29c | 1,351$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.66 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,005$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.57 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 817.1$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked No | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 615$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 16c | 369.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 10c | 300.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +224.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 7c | 289.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 231.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 48.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 30.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.