La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x374a4f1be6741d8af7efe045098202878d084c643840be69ab24e491a3580814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.85 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 55c | 14,770$8,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,646.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 50c | 3,647$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.67 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 1,084$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.65 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 752.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 71c | 563.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 57c | 498.28$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 43c | 495$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Yes | 71c | 349.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…31a8backed Yes | 14c | 262.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…008abacked No | 57c | 249.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 43c | 207.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 43c | 187.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 180.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…023cbacked Yes | 71c | 180.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 179.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 43c | 160.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 58c | 144.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 27c | 137.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…debfbacked Yes | 22c | 117.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 44c | 112.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 46c | 109.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 30c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…a874backed Yes | 72c | 99.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…eff7backed No | 37c | 90.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked No | 58c | 82.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 32c | 65.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 43c | 61.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 57.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…0565backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Yes | 47c | 45.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…4e7ebacked Yes | 44c | 41.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 56c | 37.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 57c | 35.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 55c | 33.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…9c03backed No | 53c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 58c | 27.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed No | 57c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329a…6040backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 57c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.