La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb92f73fe899e74b2d082f64d5c1a9607bafc0a9875051e07a0a223a1fcc9b764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 22c | 904.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 32c | 626$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 521.55$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 480.2$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.14 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 72c | 370$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 200.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 31c | 162$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 158.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 69c | 77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 18c | 59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed No | 69c | 57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 25c | 48.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 69c | 48.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Yes | 32c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.