La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8df075889ea9d1097a77bfddc4954bbfd687b7f4030e838c74df4ca150d031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 9c | 2,717$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 2c | 509.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…31a8backed Yes | 10c | 460.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9422backed Yes | 26c | 380.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 77c | 369.73$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 281.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 25c | 239$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 74c | 169$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 26c | 115.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 60c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 74c | 33.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…fdccbacked No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.