CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ccfa5b78c44b3c2b8092076427513aac18f5dd3529cd1637d3d5eb442478cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Rebels Gaming, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,496 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4ac…e194backed ASTRAL | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…04b1backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked ASTRAL | 15c | 400$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed ASTRAL | 41c | 267.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 77c | 173.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 75c | 168.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…5cf4backed Rebels Gaming | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed ASTRAL | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL | 24c | 126.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Rebels Gaming | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Rebels Gaming | 45c | 69.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Rebels Gaming | 77c | 64.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageRebels Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.