CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f7330e46d053944df95040358184994df1e2e8a9b8ad97db386a6b5ca8a9f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Hashiras | 44c | 4,121$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.79 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hashiras | 59c | 2,286$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.3 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 1,400$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…26aebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 876.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.91 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Hashiras | 39c | 774.36$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.18 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hashiras | 58c | 764.55$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.57 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Hashiras | 56c | 732.55$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 78c | 524.45$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 512.96$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 512.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 508.8$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 507.6$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hashiras | 42c | 480.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.75 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Hashiras | 57c | 477.03$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Hashiras | 15c | 365.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.49 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…e1c4backed Hashiras | 18c | 277$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 274.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Hashiras | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Hashiras | 16c | 231.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…ae05backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 178.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 77c | 169.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 156.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 140.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Hashiras | 13c | 131$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed Hashiras | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Hashiras | 46c | 93.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed Hashiras | 19c | 87.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 64.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Hashiras | 67c | 60.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 48.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hashiras | 58c | 37.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 35.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…927bbacked Hashiras | 57c | 33.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88c…306ebacked Hashiras | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…1a48backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 19.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 19.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-InHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.