CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2c700abfcde4dea82fa808568337a193461f93e18fdc844ea08dcd213a72b4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,339 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hashiras | 77c | 5,641$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.58 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 3,450$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.08 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 31c | 1,969$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Hashiras | 64c | 1,143$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.53 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 1,097$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.55 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 856.16$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.91 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 821.05$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 588.65$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 548.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 536.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 510$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…67c9backed Hashiras | 44c | 510$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Hashiras | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Hashiras | 68c | 302.49$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 257.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 255.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hashiras | 42c | 253.39$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 230.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 174.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hashiras | 62c | 140.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 131.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Hashiras | 80c | 113.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hashiras | 68c | 113.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Hashiras | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 73.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Hashiras | 77c | 70.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 56.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Hashiras | 47c | 53.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Hashiras | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 41.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Hashiras | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Hashiras | 38c | 37.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 37.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Hashiras | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-InHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.