CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6672e4038a477f010ad25d423434a55aae37c0d780700a1528c06ab3e102ea1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,622 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 10,095$6,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,023.3 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 4,446$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.01 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 2,171$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.71 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 2,114$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 1,892$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 36c | 1,797$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.72 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 1,647$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.77 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 1,398$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.05 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 1,377$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.03 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 1,166$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.05 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 1,137$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 1,082$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.22 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Eternal Fire | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Eternal Fire | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 559.08$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 517.95$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.43 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…94abbacked HyperSpirit | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 441.61$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked HyperSpirit | 65c | 395.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 387.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.41 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HyperSpirit | 34c | 362.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.26 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked HyperSpirit | 32c | 339.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HyperSpirit | 36c | 321$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked HyperSpirit | 34c | 309.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 284.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d9…d520backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 154.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed HyperSpirit | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 144.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Eternal Fire | 21c | 125.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 110.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 91.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 90.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HyperSpirit | 56c | 88.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Eternal Fire | 14c | 76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 60.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked HyperSpirit | 59c | 58.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 50.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed HyperSpirit | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 39.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed HyperSpirit | 63c | 30.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 29.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)HyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.