CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd834ab512c5c6fb8cac4ae3f4c4574fe6c79a7e8d62c1bc3cf1c20c9573fb486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 2,423$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HyperSpirit | 58c | 2,221$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.59 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Eternal Fire | 17c | 1,001$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Eternal Fire | 36c | 930.65$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.18 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Eternal Fire | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 780.01$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire | 27c | 762.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.55 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 729.19$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.95 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 68c | 705.42$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HyperSpirit | 74c | 560.51$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Eternal Fire | 2c | 488.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked HyperSpirit | 73c | 454.59$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 23c | 378.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 340.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 320.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eternal Fire | 20c | 298$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked HyperSpirit | 40c | 230.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed HyperSpirit | 63c | 199.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 73c | 190$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 169.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked HyperSpirit | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HyperSpirit | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Eternal Fire | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HyperSpirit | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eternal Fire | 22c | 70.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 20c | 49.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Eternal Fire | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed HyperSpirit | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed HyperSpirit | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed HyperSpirit | 36c | 34.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked HyperSpirit | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked HyperSpirit | 75c | 28.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HyperSpirit | 66c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)HyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.